PostBadge tag to show // FeedBurner FeedFlare. // ------------------------- // FeedBurner account and feed required. // Sign up at http://feedburner.com //================================================ class module_feedflare { function init(){ global $gregarious; $gregarious->add_settings ( array ( 'feedburner_url' => '' ) ); $gregarious->add_page ( 'FeedFlare', 'modules/feed-flare/icn_Flare.png', 'page_feedflare();', 'feedFlare' ); } function postbadge_tags(){ return array ( array ( 'tag' => '%FLARE%', 'replacewith' => 'feed_flare("",false)' ), ); } function update_info(){ return 100; } } //------------------------------------------ // TEMPlATE TAGS //------------------------------------------ function feed_flare($settings = '', $echo = true){ global $wp_query; $post = $wp_query->post; $sets = array('postID' => $post->ID, 'before' => '', 'after' => 'Gregarious FeedFlare', 'force' => 0 ); grab_sets($settings, $sets); if ( !$sets['force'] && hideOnID($sets['postID']) ){ return ''; } if( !$path = _get_feedburner_url() ) return ''; if( substr( $path, -1 ) == '/' ){ $path = substr( $path, 0, strlen( $path ) -1 ); } $path = str_replace ( 'feedburner.com/', 'feedburner.com/~s/', $path ); $path .= '?i='.get_permalink($sets['postID']); $result = $sets['before'] . "" . $sets['after']; if($echo) echo $result; else return $result; } function _get_feedburner_url(){ $feedurl = greg_get_option( 'feedburner_url' ); if ( $feedurl ){ return attribute_escape($feedurl); } else { $feedburner_settings = get_option('feedburner_settings'); if( is_array($feedburner_settings) && ($feedurl = $feedburner_settings['feedburner_url']) ) { return attribute_escape($feedurl); } else { return false; } } } //------------------------------------------ // OPTIONS PAGE //------------------------------------------ function page_feedflare(){ $feedurl = _get_feedburner_url(); ?> Category Archive for ‘News’ at spencerb.net

Archive for the 'News' Category

Wall Street Reform

I have several posts incubating right now…although I’m not sure exactly why.  So, my glorious return to blogging will come through a tried and true set of topics that have frequently made the pages of this blog – politics/economics.

If you have a minute and some interest in what the result of the financial crisis will be in terms of reforming financial regulation, then take a look at this article.  In all honesty, it is a bit lengthy and will take you more than a minute, but it is worth the read.  Otherwise, I wouldn’t have chosen it for this post.

It is an opinion piece from the FT that goes through some of the political reasons why this bill will be ‘too weak to succeed’ in regulating banks that have become ‘too big to fail’.  It seems at best we will have a continuation of the Q1 2009 status quo with a few new acronyms reminding us that there are some new regulatory agencies.  The rest of the changes, it seems, took place last winter.  These weren’t fundamental changes to regulation, instead we now see a few less bank names in the newspaper because they have either gone out of business or merged.

Don’t get me wrong here.  I’m not some vehement anti-Wall Street person.  I thought the Wall Street/Main Street distinction that plagued the last election was slightly ridiculous.  The point is, and I think this is one that I make frequently, government regulation and institutions shape the world that we live in for the better and the worse.

This is true for the incentives that tax schemes create, regulation of the health insurance industry, and of financial markets and institutions.  I found this point in the FT article particularly interesting:

Link!

Nor is anyone talking seriously about using antitrust laws to break up the biggest banks – the traditional tonic for any capitalist entity that is “too big to fail”. Five giant Wall Street banks now dominate US finance. If it was in the public’s interest to break up giant oil companies and railroads a century ago, and the mammoth telephone company AT&T, it is not unreasonable to break up the almost infinitely extensive tangles of Citigroup, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. No one has offered a clear reason why giant banks are important to the US economy. Logic and experience suggests the reverse.

If, as taxpayers, we are guaranteeing trillions of dollars of bank assets and the viability of something as fickle as a company, we should consider what we are getting into and whether there is a better way to organize that industry.

I’m not an expert on this subject, but I wonder if people who are experts (or even lawmakers) are considering the alternatives.  This is just one idea that popped up on the computer screen of a twenty-something student.  Where is the debate?  I guess…it is not surprising that one ‘pet’ bill is being ushered through, while everyone tries to make their ends meet.  I suppose, as the 2008 election showed us, voters want politicians to speak economics and business, but not so much that they lose their average Joe likeability.

Response to Last Post: Another Short Post on Climate Change

Recently, Australia delayed the implementation of a cap and trade scheme that was working it’s way through their legislature. Why?

This week Mr. Fielding issued a statement: He would not be voting for the bill. He would not risk job losses on “unconvincing green science.” The bill is set to founder as the Australian parliament breaks for the winter.

Apparently, Nancy Pelosi knows something about economics that the Australians don’t.

Short Post on Cap and Trade

Mr. Obama on Thursday called it “a vote of historic proportions … that will open the door to a clean energy economy” and green jobs. “It will create millions of new jobs,” Ms. Pelosi insisted.

From: WSJ Link

This makes absolutely no sense to me. It refers to a recent House vote that clears a hurdle for passing a cap and trade bill. I’ll give Obama the claim that it will lead to green jobs. Of course, when you effectively tax carbon through a cap and trade system, it will cause a shift to renewable “green” energy sources. This will likely lead to the creation of green jobs.

Pelosi’s claim that enacting cap and trade will create millions of jobs makes 0 (zero) sense. First, just think about that claim–millions of jobs. We’ve been losing hundreds of thousands of jobs per month. Charging companies for emissions is going to create millions of jobs?

Yes, thousands of jobs will be shifted to other, possibly new, industries, as Obama’s comment indicates. Millions of jobs are not going to appear because of a RELATIVE change in price.

Example: Ketchup becomes more expensive than mustard. The condiment industry employs 100 people. The relative increase in cost of ketchup is not going to cause the total jobs to go to 120 (for instance). Instead, as demand for mustard goes up to lower costs, production will increase for mustard and fall for ketchup. A relative price increase will not effect overall consumption in a way that will dramatically change the total level of employment. Some ketchup folks will move to the mustard industry.

This example is simple, but the logic holds, in my opinion, for analyzing a cap and trade scheme. Especially, against such a ridiculous claim like creating millions of jobs. Shifting jobs is far appropriate.

Alternative example would be an absolute change in price, something that effects overall productivity. If condiments become cheaper, people will change their buying habits to buy more overall. This will increase the employment level because overall production increased. This example could include where mustard benefits more than ketchup and the mustard industry DOES uniquely create a bunch of new jobs.

This post was supposed to be short, but just realize Nancy Pelosi said something ridiculous.

I’m Not Convinced

I watched an interview with President Obama by Diane Sawyer. I am not convinced by President Obama’s arguments. Who are these people that suggest we do nothing? These supposed people are the focus of Obama’s arguments. His argument goes along the lines of ‘the people who say we do nothing have the burden of proof.’ If these people do not exist, then there is no actual opposition to Obama’s argument, as framed by him. That is a pretty easy argument to win.

Furthermore, it problematically paints opponents of the Administration’s plan as people who want to do nothing. This seems to be the actual strategy of Obama’s health care strawman. This is not reality. There are Republicans who are proposing reforms that focus on fixing our current system through market reforms, adjusting the tax code, and nationalizing the insurance market.

[Sens. Tom Coburn of Oklahoma and Richard Burr of North Carolina, and Reps. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin and Devin Nunes of California] proposal — called the Patients’ Choice Act — is to leave in place the tax deduction companies receive for providing employees with health insurance and to create a “Medi-Choice” tax rebate that will give individuals $2,200 and families $5,700 to spend on health insurance.

The rebate will make health insurance more affordable, especially for young people. It also will make health insurance portable, which will free people from being locked into jobs they hate because they are afraid of losing their health insurance.

One issue that bothers me that people don’t seem to be talking about is the impact of adding healthcare to the government’s budget. The current recession has made one thing abundantly clear, state budgets are not rock solid. This is not new news though. Yes, California is suffering incredibly bad right now and using federal money to finance its operation, but Minnesota has had several budget crises. What happens during a recession? States cut back. Right now, states are cutting healthcare benefits to children. The only way to avoid this is to make healthcare a dedicated part of the budget and let the federal government run deficits, if necessary, to finance it.

Again, I implore people to ask themselves this question: If competition and price-cutting is the answer, why don’t we foster an environment for healthcare that creates a more competitive industry?

The private market may not be able to handle this public-option because the market is so riddled with regulation. There are a lot of reforms that we have not tried yet. Before we commit the government to financing our healthcare system (a truly dangerous proposition), let’s try these things first.

Catching Up on a Few Articles

1. “A Governor and His Veto Pen”

If you live in Minnesota and you missed the politically intense budget battle and use of archaic MN constitutional techniques:

Upon receiving the last spending bill, he announced that he would exercise the power of “unallotment,” which has been on the books since 1939 and which has been used four times. Under it, the governor is allowed to “unallot” (take away) any state spending for which there is no money to pay. Panicked, the DFL passed tax legislation to cover its blowout spending bills, 10 minutes before the session’s end. Too late. The governor said he’d veto the bill and would not be calling back the legislature to do any more mischief.

2. Pawlenty not Running for Reeelection

Possible presidential run?

3. Alternatives to the Democrat’s Health Care Reform

Four Republicans in Congress — Sens. Tom Coburn (Oklahoma) and Richard Burr (North Carolina) and Reps. Paul Ryan (Wisconsin) and Devin Nunes (California) — will today introduce a bill that moves away from federal centralization. Aptly called the Patients’ Choice Act, it provides a path to universal coverage by redirecting current subsidies for health insurance to individuals. It also provides a new safety net that guarantees access to insurance for those with pre-existing conditions.

These are all great articles (especially 1 and 3). Definitely worth the read if you have some time to sit down and spend it with the Wall Street Journal. One final note, everyone should probably subscribe to the paper because it really is the best news source out there. (Note: I am not paid by News Corp)

Some Thoughts on SCOTUS Nominee

…from a much greater legal mind than my own:

Jurisprudentially, moreover, the sorry Didden episode reveals an important lesson about constitutional law. It is always possible to top one bad decision (Kelo) with another (Didden). This does not augur well for a Sotomayor appointment to the Supreme Court. The president should have done better, and the Senate, Democrats and Republicans alike, should subject this dubious nomination to the intense scrutiny that it deserves.

Nominating a justice to the Supreme Court is a great honor for a president. They get to appoint a man or woman for life to the top legal institution in the United States. In some instances, they can change the balance of power on the Court. Judicial philosophy matters. It affects and guides rulings. Even if the balance on the Court does not change, the personalities on the Court certainly will.

A SC nomination does not do much for members of Congress from the President’s party. Yes, Chuck Schumer can repeat the President’s praise of Sotomayor and so can everyone else. But that is not a very productive confirmation hearing.

The nomination does give the opposing party the opportunity to use the hearings as a platform to explain their judicial philosophy vis-a-vis the nominee they oppose. Politically it may not be salient to vote against a nominee. By that I mean several things. First of all, the President has the power, under the advice and consent of the Senate, to appoint justices. The Constitution grants him (or her) that power. In my opinion, the nominee should face scrutiny for their opinions, but that does not mean a nominee should simply be opposed because your party does not have control of the White House. Second, every vote counts. Votes in Congress are not independent of one another, members of Congress have limited political capital, as does the President.

So what can the GOP do? Ask questions with purpose. Be creative. Don’t play softball with a Princeton and Yale Law School grad. Frame questions so that you can use your answers to show the superiority of the judicial philosophy you believe should be on the Court. Sotomayor is certainly running through what questions may be asked. She will be prepared. I’m not saying you need to ambush her, but as a conservative you believe a certain type of justice should be on the Court. Show the public why Sotomayor does not fit that bill.

Speak to moderate America when asking questions about judicial philosophy. I think that they will readily listen. Just because Sotomayor will be confirmed does not mean it has to be a win for Obama. Remember, he might get another nominee in the next 3 years.

Markets Final Respond Positively to a Treasury Plan

Finally, a plan that addresses a root cause of the crisis: housing.

It’s clear that politicians have been dragging their feet on dealing with bad assets in banks. This topic certainly deserves a fool post, but since I’m on vacation, you get a link and a quote.

ut the first-day verdict on the Dow Jones average went in the right direction for Mr. Geithner this time, up nearly 7 percent and 500 points, in contrast to the precipitous slide after Mr. Geithner’s first effort, when his inability to explain in any detail how the program would work left Wall Street jittery about whether the administration had a workable plan.

A Treasury spokeswoman insisted the only difference was that Mr. Geithner had the time to complete details so complicated that they amount to creating a new financial system with global reach. But beyond the substance, the administration also had a more careful plan in place to introduce the proposal, because neither Mr. Geithner nor Mr. Obama could afford another negative review.

Ohhhhh Illinois…

Roland Burris….Roland Burris….Roland Burris…

*Shakes Head*

Blago’s gone, but he lives on politically through his appointment of Roland Burris to the U.S. Senate. Mr. Burris, famous for his ego, apparently lied or avoided answering a very direct question about his connections to Blago. Republicans are now calling for his resignation. I’m not sure he is qualified to be a U.S. Senator anyway, but this changes things.

Comprehensive Fox News Report

Obama Appointees

Ms. Killefer is the third Obama nominee to confront tax problems. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner was confirmed despite disclosure about his failure to pay certain taxes. Tom Daschle, Obama’s pick for Health and Human Services, is under scrutiny for his delinquent payment of some $140,000 in taxes and interest.

-From WSJ

Treasury Secretary, Potential Department of Health and Human Services Secretary, and former contender for the new performance officer appointment all have one thing in common. Okay, beside being chosen by Obama for a cabinet level post…Tax Problems!

I don’t like taxes very much either, as you could probably tell from my blogging during the election. I feel good about not paying taxes when I shop for clothing in Minnesota. The state loses maybe $30 in revenue. Truthfully, I’d rather give Minnesota $30 than the federal government, but they don’t give me a choice, so I’d rather just keep my money. The tax problems we are talking about for Daschle are about $140,000. That is a lot of money. What does this say about him and his eligibility to serve the President?

This post is a bit rambling, but I think it shows something that several people have been outed for corrupt activities. Whether its Blago in IL or any one of these 3 appointees. People in government are acting unethically and expecting to get away with it.

Pay your taxes. Lobby your legislators to lower the tax rate so you pay less!

The Not-so Stimulating Stimulus

From the WSJ:

“Notwithstanding reports that all economists are now Keynesians and that we all support a big increase in the burden of government, we the undersigned do not believe that more government spending is a way to improve economic performance. More government spending by Hoover and Roosevelt did not pull the United States economy out of the Great Depression in the 1930s. More government spending did not solve Japan’s “lost decade” in the 1990s. As such, it is a triumph of hope over experience to believe that more government spending will help the U.S. today. To improve the economy, policymakers should focus on reforms that remove impediments to work, saving, investment and production. Lower tax rates and a reduction in the burden of government are the best ways of using fiscal policy to boost growth. –Statement signed by more than 200 academic economists”

I really don’t like this new stimulus plan going through Congress right now. Seriously, this does not sound like stimulus. First of all, not enough tax cuts in the right places. We need to cut taxes to the point where it changes people’s decision-calculus. Also known as changing the marginal tax rate. This encourages productivity and spending. I can accept, we may need to increase government spending, although the evidence is shaky that it has an effect. But why is Congress proposing spending money on things that won’t occur for another 3+ years? That is not stimulus.

Honestly, this bill seems like 800 billion dollars of pork. Less than 5% is going toward infrastructure and transportation projects.

Here is the WSJ break down on some of these projects:

Here’s another lu-lu: Congress wants to spend $600 million more for the federal government to buy new cars. Uncle Sam already spends $3 billion a year on its fleet of 600,000 vehicles. Congress also wants to spend $7 billion for modernizing federal buildings and facilities. The Smithsonian is targeted to receive $150 million; we love the Smithsonian, too, but this is a job creator?

Another “stimulus” secret is that some $252 billion is for income-transfer payments — that is, not investments that arguably help everyone, but cash or benefits to individuals for doing nothing at all. There’s $81 billion for Medicaid, $36 billion for expanded unemployment benefits, $20 billion for food stamps, and $83 billion for the earned income credit for people who don’t pay income tax. While some of that may be justified to help poorer Americans ride out the recession, they aren’t job creators.

This will cost a lot of political capital for Republicans in Congress, but I believe that it is a worth-while fight. Obama was promising bipartisanship. Some of his cabinet choices made it seem like he would follow through with that promise. This stimulus bill is the Democrats checking items off of their agenda from the past 20 years, not an attempt to get this economy moving.



Get Adobe Flash playerPlugin by wpburn.com wordpress themes

Close
E-mail It